Welcome to The Hill’s Campaign Report, your weekly rundown on all the latest news in the 2020 presidential, Senate and House races. Did someone forward this to you? Click here to subscribe.
We’re Julia Manchester, Max Greenwood and Jonathan Easley. Here’s what we’re watching this week on the campaign trail.
LEADING THE DAY:
The Iowa caucuses are 10 days away, and the big question hanging over the race is whether Democrats will nominate a liberal from the left wing of the party or if a candidate from the moderate center will win out.
The fault lines could not be clearer as voting is set to begin. At the top of the polls in Iowa and New Hampshire are former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE and former South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE, who represent the center, and Sens. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) and Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.), who are two of the party’s biggest stars on the progressive left.
Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonWhite House accuses Biden of pushing ‘conspiracy theories’ with Trump election claim Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness Trayvon Martin’s mother Sybrina Fulton qualifies to run for county commissioner in Florida MORE set those tensions aflame this week in an interview with The Hollywood Reporter, where she blasted Sanders, describing him as an unlikeable “career politician” whose supporters “got sucked into” backing him.
Clinton at first declined to say whether she would support Sanders if he wins the Democratic nomination, but later – amid intense blowback – said that she would.
Sanders and his campaign largely ignored Clinton, but progressives fumed at what they described as the “Clinton corporate wing” of the party that has repeatedly lost elections while warning that a left-wing candidate would be a surefire general election loser.
Those dynamics are coming into play between Biden and Sanders, who have begun to separate themselves from the pack in some national and early-state polls.
Biden is widely viewed as the safe, establishment pick who will bring order back to Washington; Sanders is running as a disruptor. Both are polling strong in hypothetical head-to-head matchups against President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE.
The New York Times tried to split the baby with its endorsements of Warren and Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Democrats demand Republican leaders examine election challenges after Georgia voting chaos Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk MORE (D-Minn.) for president, but Democratic voters don’t have that luxury.
Which way will they go?
— Jonathan Easley
Clinton tears open wound with attack on Sanders, by Jonathan Easley and Amie Parnes.
Sanders wants one-on-one fight with Biden, by Parnes and Easley.
FROM THE TRAIL:
All four of the senators running for president were in Washington this week to preside over President Trump’s impeachment trial in the Senate. The trial comes roughly two weeks before the Iowa Caucuses, forcing Sens. Sanders, Warren, Klobuchar and Michael BennetMichael Farrand BennetSome realistic solutions for income inequality Democratic senators kneel during moment of silence for George Floyd 21 senators urge Pentagon against military use to curb nationwide protests MORE (D-Colo.) to cut their time on the campaign trail. While the senators are maintaining it is their duty to show up for the trial, a number of them have admitted that the timing is not ideal. “I truly love this part of the campaign, and I hope I’ll be able to come back more,” Sanders said this week.
Sanders was forced to cancel an event in Iowa this week, citing the trial. CNN was also forced to cancel its back-to-back town halls with the candidates in Iowa. The town halls were originally slated to be held on Jan. 28 and 29.
Impeachment isn’t completely preventing the senators from the campaign trail. Warren’s campaign said on Thursday that “Queer Eye” star Jonathan Van Ness would join her for a town hall in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, on Sunday. Meanwhile, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-CortezAttorney says 75-year-old man shoved by Buffalo police suffered brain injury How language is bringing down Donald Trump Highest-circulation Kentucky newspaper endorses Charles Booker in Senate race MORE (D-N.Y.) and progressive filmmaker Michael Moore are slated to join Sanders in Iowa on Sunday. Klobuchar will return to Iowa on Saturday for events through Sunday.
Meanwhile, candidates like Buttigieg and Biden have been able to take full advantage of the senators’ absence on the trail. Remember, most polling shows Biden, Sanders, Warren and Buttigieg as the top four candidates in the race. Without Sanders and Warren stumping, Biden and Buttigieg are able to fill the void to try and gather more support ahead of the caucuses.
Lara Brown: Trump’s reelection looks more like a long shot than a slam dunk
Bill Schneider: No patriotic poll bump for Trump, but Soleimani strike may still help him politically
Albert Eisenberg: GOP can beat Democrats after impeachment — but it needs to do this one thing
Justin Haskins: Trump’s big reelection weapon: A remarkable manufacturing jobs boom
FROM CONGRESS AND THE STATES:
Sen. Susan CollinsSusan Margaret CollinsRepublicans prepare to punt on next COVID-19 relief bill Trump tweets spark fresh headache for Republicans Trump’s tweet on protester sparks GOP backlash MORE (R-Maine) is walking a fine line in Trump’s Senate impeachment trial. As one of the most vulnerable senators up for reelection in November, Collins has to show some independence from the president while not alienating his base in Maine. Collins was among the small group of moderate Republicans who successfully pressured Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote GOP senator to try to reverse requirement that Pentagon remove Confederate names from bases No, ‘blue states’ do not bail out ‘red states’ MORE (R-Ky.) to change the trial rules in favor of greater transparency. However, she joined Republicans on 10 other votes that blocked Democratic amendments, demonstrating her loyalty on the majority of the votes. The Hill’s Julia Manchester and Scott Wong report
America First Policies, an outside group aligned with President Trump, is launching a seven-figure, multi-state ad campaign opposing impeachment, and its first target is Sen. Doug Jones (D-Ala.), Max reports. The ad spot ties Jones, one of the most vulnerable senators up for reelection this year, to the so-called “radical left,” and urges him to oppose the impeachment proceedings against the president. AFP said that it was prepared to spend $1 million across three states on the ad campaign, though it did not say what other states it would run ads in.
The conservative group Club for Growth is preparing to take on Rep. Kay GrangerNorvell (Kay) Kay GrangerSpace dominance by way of Texas Lawmakers call on VA to remove swastikas from headstones in veterans cemeteries The Hill’s Morning Report – Presented by the APTA – A huge night for Joe Biden MORE (R-Texas) with a seven-figure ad campaign targeting the congresswoman’s record on spending, Politico’s Alex Isenstadt reports. The group is also backing a primary challenger for Granger in the form of tech executive Chris Putnam.
Ten years after the Supreme Court ruled that the First Amendment protected the rights of corporate and labor groups to spend money promoting federal candidates, hundreds of millions of new dollars are flowing into political advertising — just not quite in the way many people expected in the wake of the landmark ruling. The Hill’s Reid Wilson looks back on the historic decision.
The national watchdog group Common Cause filed a complaint this week with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), accusing Our Revolution, a political nonprofit founded in 2016 by Bernie Sanders, of accepting contributions in excess of federal limits, while working to support the Vermont senator’s presidential campaign, Max reports. In a statement, Our Revolution denied wrongdoing and questioned the timing of Common Cause’s complaint, noting that the FEC is essentially dormant because it lacks enough members for a quorum. “For Common Cause to claim that Our Revolution is simply an arm of the Bernie Sanders 2020 campaign is an insult to our grassroots members and all that we have accomplished,” the group said in a statement.
The Democratic National Committee (DNC) announced on Wednesday that it would spend millions of dollars in key battleground states to lay the groundwork for the party’s eventual presidential nominee in the general election, Max reports. The committee declined to say exactly how much it would spend, but it’s targeting six states that Trump won in 2016: Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The multimillion-dollar investment is the first battleground spending undertaken by the DNC this year, and committee officials said they could spend more and expand the list of states.
The impeachment trial is keeping some senators away from fundraisers as they head into a tumultuous election year, The Hill’s Alex Gangitano reports. An event for Sen. Dan SullivanDaniel Scott SullivanUS security starts in the Arctic Senate confirms nation’s first African American service chief GOP senators urge Trump not to restrict guest worker visas MORE (R-Alaska) was postponed on Wednesday, and Sen. Mitt RomneyWillard (Mitt) Mitt RomneyMilley discussed resigning from post after Trump photo-op: report Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names Attorney says 75-year-old man shoved by Buffalo police suffered brain injury MORE’s (R-Utah) PAC pushed back its “Believe in America” kick-off reception. Likewise, a fundraiser for the National Republican Senatorial Committee’s PAC was rescheduled earlier this week, as well. The postponements underscore how Trump’s impeachment trial is affecting campaign politics on both sides of the aisle.
Biden: 30 percent (+4)
Sanders: 23 percent (+2)
Warren: 14 percent (-3)
Bloomberg: 9 percent (+4)
Buttigieg: 6 percent (-2)
Klobuchar: 5 percent (+1)
Yang: 3 percent (+/-0)
Sanders: 27 percent (+7)
Biden: 24 percent (-2)
Warren: 14 percent (-2)
Buttigieg: 11 percent (+3)
Bloomberg: 5 percent (+/-0)
Klobuchar: 4 percent (+1)
Yang: 4 percent (+1)
Steyer: 2 percent (+1)
WBUR NEW HAMPSHIRE
Sanders: 29 percent (+14)
Buttigieg: 17 percent (-1)
Biden: 14 percent (-3)
Warren: 13 percent (+1)
Klobuchar: 6 percent (+3)
Gabbard: 5 percent
Yang: 5 percent
Steyer: 3 percent
MARK YOUR CALENDARS:
There are 10 days until the Iowa caucuses, 18 days until the New Hampshire primary, 29 days until the Nevada caucuses, 36 days until the South Carolina primary and 39 days until Super Tuesday.
ONE FUN THING:
AXED: Andrew YangAndrew YangGeorge Floyd protests show corporations must support racial and economic equality Andrew Yang discusses his universal basic income pilot program Andrew Yang on the George Floyd protests in Minneapolis MORE tried his hand at axe throwing during a campaign stop in Osage, Iowa, on Wednesday.
Having some fun with axes in Osage, Iowa. pic.twitter.com/FYAJ4Pf74Z
— Andrew Yang (@AndrewYang) January 22, 2020
Yang did pretty well for someone who isn’t a pro, but it’s not his first time throwing the axe around.
The candidate tried his hand at the activity in November, calling himself a “lumberjack.”
Yang throws an axe! pic.twitter.com/XMsheNGa8T
— Behind 2020 (@Behind2020) November 15, 2019
Maybe it’s a good way to burn off some steam on the campaign trail?
See you all next week for the latest 2020 campaign news!
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